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S&P 500 ends Monday little changed as investors look ahead to key inflation reports: Live updates

Zscaler shares surge on better-than-expected guidance. Here's how to play it
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Zscaler shares surge on better-than-expected guidance. Here's how to play it

The S&P 500 closed near the flat line on Monday as investors looked ahead to pivotal inflation readings, including April's consumer price index report.

The broad market index was little changed with a small gain of 0.05%, ending the session at 4,138.12. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.18%, closing at 12,256.92. The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 55.69 points, or 0.17%, to end at 33,618.69.

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"At first glance, markets appear to be assuming a more tepid approach on Monday as they digest everything we learned last week, contemplate emerging tail risks, and prepare for more data later this week," according to the Goldman Sachs trading desk. "A look beneath the surface reveals a bit more agitation than that first glance might reveal."

Traders are awaiting key data that will inform the Federal Reserve's forward path: April's CPI report is due Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday.

Separately, select bank shares ticked higher to begin the week. Shares of PacWest gained 3.6%. Late Friday evening, the bank announced that it would cut its dividend to just 1 cent per share from 25 cents per share in the prior quarter. Western Alliance shares ended the day up about 0.6%. Big banks Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase also rose.

Investors are debating whether the banking crisis has finally abated, according to Oanda senior market analyst Edward Moya.

"It looks like Wall Street will try to find out if bank stress is nearing the end," Moya said. "This week won't be as busy as last but it will still be important."

Elsewhere, shares of Disney rose more than 2%. The company is set to report quarterly results on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Berkshire Hathaway Class A shares rose 1%. On Saturday, Warren Buffett's conglomerate reported its first-quarter results. The conglomerate showed operating earnings increased 12% in the first quarter, while its cash hoard topped $130 billion. Buffet personally discussed topics including the latest banking crisis that rocked Wall Street, at Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska.

Stocks are coming off a volatile week that saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notch their worst weekly stretches since March. The losses came despite a late-week rally that saw volatile regional bank stocks jump off their lows.

Lea la cobertura del mercado de hoy en español aquí.

Banks may be having a bear market rally, Strategas says

Regional bank stocks have steadied after initially giving up their early gains, with PacWest up about 6%. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is now down less than 1%.

However, Strategas technical strategist Chris Verrone said in a note to clients Monday that it might still be too early to call a bottom in bank stocks.

"Following Thursday's surge in KRE volume (looked panicky with nearly 120 million shares trading hands), Regionals ended the week on a firm note finally bouncing from a very oversold condition. But we're reminded that max volume is rarely 'the low.' We're inclined to treat this like a bear market rally in Banks and to be mindful that the broader Financials sector is," Verrone wrote.

With about an hour left in trading Monday, less than 30 million shares of the KRE have been traded.

— Jesse Pound

Stocks are pricing in an overly optimistic Fed view, Morgan Stanley's Wilson says

Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson thinks the stock market is overly optimistic about the chances for Fed rate cuts being accompanied by "durable growth," meaning there could be pain ahead.

"The equity market continues to expect the best of both worlds," Wilson wrote in a note Monday. "We view the likelihood of both of those outcomes playing out in concert this year as low, and our economists do not expect rate cuts in 2023."

"The bottom line from our standpoint on this front is that, tactically, equities are priced for an optimistic and lower probability outcome," Wilson said.

The S&P 500 hovered around the flatline Monday.

— Fred Imbert, Michael Bloom

Vitru shares jump 8% following an upgrade from Morgan Stanley

The recent selloff in Vitru shares presents an attractive entry point opportunity, according to Morgan Stanley. 

Shares of the Brazil-based digital education company have plunged 44% since March, as of Friday's closing price. However, Morgan Stanley thinks the decline wasn't due to the company's fundamentals, but rather was "exacerbated" by the stock's limited liquidity.

Vitru's stock jumped 8% during Monday's trading session.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about the upgrade here.

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Vitru stock

— Hakyung Kim

JPMorgan sees American Airlines shares surging more than 100%

Investors should buy American Airlines as the air carrier's valuation is too good to pass up, according to JPMorgan. 

Analyst Jamie Baker upgraded the airline's shares to overweight from neutral. Baker said this reflects a long-term shift in which "the Big 3" airlines — American, Delta and United — have seized the high ground from the "discounters." 

Shares of American gained 2.4% during premarket trading on Monday. 

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about his upgrade here.

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— Hakyung Kim

Catalent, Zscaler among stocks making the biggest moves midday

These are some of the names making the biggest moves during midday trading:

Catalent — Catalent shares plunged 27% after the company said it will delay the release of its fiscal third-quarter results and expects significant cuts to its 2023 guidance.

Tyson Foods — Shares plummeted 15% after the food production company posted an unexpected loss for the recent quarter and cut its revenue outlook for the year.

Zscaler — The cloud security stock rallied 22% on strong preliminary earnings and full-year guidance. Preliminary revenue, non-GAAP operating income and billings for the company's third quarter all came in above respective consensus estimates of analysts polled by FactSet.

Read the full list of names moving midday here.

— Samantha Subin

The underlying economic picture remains 'largely the same,' says Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management

Despite last week's Federal Reserve interest rate hike and the release of several economic indicators, much of the broad economic outlook remains largely the same, according to Brent Schutte, chief investment officer of the Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company.

"The underlying picture of the economy remained largely the same, as most reports did little to change long-term trends—the services side of the economy remained resilient, the slump in manufacturing proceeded, and the employment picture continues to defy gravity," Schutte wrote in a Monday note.

Schutte noted that the Fed's hinting at a pause in the rate hike cycle was widely expected. He added that banking crisis concerns had also largely calmed by Friday.

— Hakyung Kim

Energy stocks buoy S&P 500

The S&P 500 traded around its flatline, helped by a nearly 1% gain in energy stocks.

Energy was the best performing sector of the S&P 500 with its almost 1% advance. Devon Energy and Schlumberger led the sector higher as each added more than 2%.

In total, seven of the 11 sectors in the broad index traded down. Real estate and utilities were the two worst performers, with each shedding around 0.4%.

— Alex Harring

Bitcoin slides after network congestion leads Binance to briefly halt withdrawals

Bitcoin fell to start the week, extending losses from a sharp drop over the weekend. It was last lower by about 4% at $27,787.05, according to Coin Metrics. The drop came after Binance tweeted Sunday that the Bitcoin network was "experiencing a congestion issue" and that it was temporarily closing bitcoin withdrawals as a result until the network stabilized.

"Reports of a large bitcoin outflow and withdrawals being paused at a major exchange could be factoring into some of the weakness we're seeing. Ultimately however, there haven't been any major developments as far as price action goes, with bitcoin still very much confined to a multiday bullish consolidation," said Joel Kruger, market strategist at LMAX Group.

"Only a break back below $25,000 would give reason for concern. Until then, we suspect dips will continue to be very well supported," he added.

For more details, read our full story here.

— Tanaya Macheel

Regional banks' rebound stalls

The rebound in the regional bank rally stalled on Monday, with shares of PacWest Bancorp giving up much of its early trading gains.

PacWest shares opened up nearly 30% but were last up about 5.2% in midday trading. Late Friday evening, CEO Paul Taylor said the bank's business was "fundamentally sound," while the company cut its dividend to just 1 cent per share from 25 cents in the previous quarter.

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PacWest

Meanwhile, Western Alliance's stock added nearly 2% and Zions Bancorp gained less than 1%, both off their highs earlier in the session.

The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) was down 1.6%, after rallying 6.3% in the previous session.

— Michelle Fox, Yun Li

UBS upgrades Pentair shares to buy

UBS moved off the sidelines on Pentair, upgrading shares to buy from neutral.

"We upgrade PNR to Buy on the view that the pool cycle is nearing its bottom, and that the company will deliver on margin targets," analyst Damian Karas wrote in a client note on Monday.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about the upgrade here.

— Hakyung Kim

Six Flags surges after earnings, cites 'accelerating' season pass sales

Six Flags Entertainment jumped 21% during midday trading after exceeding first-quarter analysts' expectations.

The regional theme park company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $17 million, lower than the forecasted loss of $23.7 million, according to consensus estimates from FactSet. It posted a narrower-than-expected loss of 84 cents per share, compared to expectations of 89 cents per share. It posted revenue of $142.2 million, greater than the expectation of $132.6 million.

CEO Selim Bassoul said in a statement the results are "proof points that our new strategy and our new culture are beginning to take hold."

"We are still in the early stages of our transformation, but with our season pass sales accelerating and our attendance improving, we are encouraged by our recent progress," Bassoul said.

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Six Flags shares 1-day

— Sarah Min

These are the stocks hitting fresh highs and lows

Shares of Tyson Foods plunged more than 15% on Monday to touch lows not seen since April 2020. Elsewhere, Match Group his fresh lows dating back to its November 2015 initial public offering.

These are some of the other names notching new lows:

  • Catalent trading at lows not seen since March 2020
  • EPAM Systems trading at lows not seen since March 2022

Meanwhile, shares of Arthur J Gallagher hit all-time highs dating back to the company's June 1984 IPO.

These names also hit record highs:

— Samantha Subin

Novo Nordisk shares recovering from last week's dip

Novo Nordisk shares continued to recover from last week's stumble as more investors buy into the long-term story for its obesity drug franchise. The U.S.-traded shares were up 3% in trading on Monday.

Last week, the stock sold off as the company said it was once again limiting supplies of starter doses of Wegovy to make sure it can serve existing patients. New patients taking the weight-loss medication titrate to the drug's full dose in order to limit any potential side effects. Robust demand for the GLP-1 medication has led to periodic shortages since its launch.

—Christina Cheddar Berk

Catalent plummets 26% on earnings delay, expected guidance cut

Shares of Catalent tumbled more than 26% after the company announced it's delaying the release of its fiscal third-quarter results and expects to "significantly reduce" its 2023 guidance.

Earlier this year, the contract drug manufacturer warned that slower production and higher costs could weigh on its results.

Catalent said it had found certain potential non-cash adjustments related to its operations in Bloomington, Indiana, requiring more time to review its results for the third quarter.

The company also said it found "significant issues with its forecasts over the past year, which are currently being addressed," adding that it expects to release results for the recent period on May 15.

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Catalent shares plummet on earnings delay

— Samantha Subin

Zscaler surges on strong preliminary earnings, full-year expectations

Zscaler rallied nearly 20% after the cloud security company issued strong preliminary earnings and forward guidance.

The company reported preliminary third-quarter revenue between $415 million and $419 million, ahead of its prior expectation of between $396 million and $398 million. That's also above the consensus estimate of $397.4 million from analysts polled by FactSet.

Preliminary non-GAAP operating income was also stronger than anticipated, with the company setting a range of $60 million and $64 million. That topped Zscaler's prior guidance of between $55 million and $56 million, as well as the FactSet analyst forecast of $55.6 million.

Billings came in between $478 million and $482 million, beating the estimate of $448.8 million compiled by FactSet.

The company also raised forward guidance. The company upped its expected revenue for the full year to come in between $1.587 billion and $1.591 billion, while analysts expect $1.56 billion. Non-GAAP operating income is now expected to be between $220 million and $224 million for the year, above FactSet's $213.2 million forecast from analysts. Zscaler anticipated full-year billings to now fall in the range of $1.97 billion and $1.974 billion, topping Wall Street's $1.94 consensus estimate.

— Alex Harring

Berkshire shares rise after earnings beat and Geico’s turnaround

Berkshire Hathaway B shares climbed 1.7% in early trading, set to add to their 5% gain so far this year. Investors cheered a strong earnings report, driven by a rebound in Berkshire's insurance business, especially Geico.

The auto insurer saw a big turnaround in the quarter, returning to an underwriting profit of $703 million. Ajit Jain, Berkshire's vice chairman of insurance operations, said Saturday that auto insurer Geico is "taking the bull by the horns" to improve the use of telematics.

— Yun Li

Dow opens slightly higher

The Dow rose about 60 points at the open, while the S&P 500 gained 0.1%. The Nasdaq Composite dipped slightly.

— Fred Imbert

S&P 500 typically rallies from late spring into summer

The S&P 500 has had a strong end of spring into early summer period over the past decade years, led up by health care stocks.

The broad index has gained an average of 5% between May 5 and Aug. 5 when averaging the three-month period over the last 10 years, according to data analyzed by Bespoke Investment Group.

Health care stocks have typically led the index higher, gaining 7.2% on average in the time period over the last decade. The S&P 500's real estate and technology sectors have also historically outperformed when averaging the 10 three-month periods, with each advancing 5.8% in a typical period.

Energy is the only S&P 500 sector to have an average loss in this three-month trading period. When comparing returns from the last 10 years, the sector has ended down a modest 0.1% on average.

— Alex Harring

Stocks making premarket moves

Here are some of the names making the biggest moves in the premarket:

  • Fortinet — Shares gained 3.7% after being Bank of America upgraded the cybersecurity company to buy from neutral. The Wall Street firm cited Fortinet's solid execution and strong underlying demand.
  • Tyson Foods — The stock fell nearly 10% after the food production company cutting cut its annual sales outlook and posted an unexpected loss for its latest quarter, according to FactSet. Tyson also warned of a 4% decrease from the previous year in domestic beef production and flat pork production.
  • Estee Lauder — Shares popped 5.6% in premarket trading following a report from the New York Post that activist investor Nelson Peltz was contemplating a "possible shakeup" at the beauty products company.

To read more names making moves in the premarket, read the full story here.

— Michelle Fox

JPMorgan initiates coverage on aluminum producer Alcoa

Aluminum producer Alcoa's shares jumped 2.3% Monday during premarket trading after JPMorgan initiated coverage with an overweight rating. The firm's price target of $54 implies shares rallying more than 49% from Friday's close. 

"Our view rests on a positive aluminum price outlook, given supply constraints and the commodity's strong secular growth trends, which can help fund shareholder returns and future growth initiatives," analyst Bill Peterson wrote in a Monday note. "

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about his call here.

— Hakyung Kim

Occidental shares dip after Buffett knocks down takeover speculation

Shares of Occidental Petroleum dipped more than 1% in premarket trading Monday after Warren Buffett said Berkshire Hathaway doesn't plan on taking full control of the oil giant.

"There's speculation about us buying control, we're not going to buy control," Buffett said at Berkshire's annual shareholder meeting. "We wouldn't know what to do with it."

The "Oracle of Omaha" has amassed a stake of 23.5%, while receiving approval to purchase up to 50% of the company. Many had been speculating that Buffett would eventually acquire the whole company.

— Yun Li

PacWest surges after dividend cut

Investors cheered PacWest cutting its dividend, with the stock surging more than 30% in the premarket Monday.

The regional bank said late Friday it reduced its dividend to just 1 cent per share from 25 cents per share.

"Given current economic uncertainty, recent volatility in the banking sector and potential changes in regulatory capital requirements, we view reducing the dividend as a prudent step to accelerate our plans to build capital," CEO Paul Taylor said in a statement.

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PACW surges

— Yun Li

European stocks muted

European indexes started the trading week on a flat footing, with traders looking ahead to more corporate earnings, economic data and a Bank of England rate decision this week.

In individual stocks news, Italy's Banca Monte Dei Paschi rose 2.7% in early deals after a report said the Italian Treasury is open to reducing its 64% stake in the lender.

Read more here.

U.S. Treasury yields edge lower

U.S. Treasury yields slipped on Monday, retracing some gains made after the release of better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls data.

The yield on the 30-year Treasury was down 2 basis points to 3.7420% at 2 a.m. ET. The 10-year Treasury fell 1 basis point to 3.4351%. Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point equals 0.01%.

Read more here.

China's trade surplus to have eased to $74 billion in April

China's trade surplus is expected to have eased slightly from $88.2 billion in March to $74.3 billion in April, a Reuters poll of economists showed.

Exports are forecast to have grown 8% year-on-year after growing 14.8% in March, while imports are expected to remain unchanged after declining by 1.4% year-on-year in the previous month.

The softer trade data in April is likely to reflect "residual seasonality" after this year's Lunar New Year, economists at Goldman Sachs said in a Monday note.

"We expect the dissipation of this seasonal bias to slow export growth in April. We expect import growth to decelerate on a month-over-month basis," economists wrote, adding that holiday-related seasonal patterns are less obviously noted in imports.

The economy is also slated to report its inflation data later in the week.

— Jihye Lee

Morgan Stanley strategist sees Korean stocks rising nearly 10% on monetary easing

We expect South Korea's EV battery sector to grow, says Morgan Stanley
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We expect South Korea's EV battery sector to grow, says Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley strategist Joon Seok has made a bullish call on the South Korean market, putting a target of 2,750 on the Kospi in 2023, just over 9% from its current level of 2,520.29.

Speaking to CNBC's "Squawk on the Road" in South Korea, Joon explains that there are three elements that investors have to look at: monetary policy, corporate earnings and the country's capital reform initiative.

For monetary policy, the main question to ask would be when will rate cuts come, he said, given that the Bank of Korea was one of the first banks in Asia to pause its rate hikes.

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As for corporate earnings, he says that in a multipolar world, Korean companies will have "more opportunities and risks," noting that the firm is bullish on the tech materials and materials sector.

"We see that Korean tech as one of the big beneficiaries," he told CNBC.

Joon added that South Korean companies have "preemptively adjusted" to potential problems ahead in the global supply chain, adding that they also "have a lot of intellectual property that actually helps us out."

— Lim Hui Jie

Japan services sector expands at record pace in April: au Jibun bank

Japan's service sector has expanded at a record pace in April, a private survey showed.

The au Jibun Bank Japan services purchasing managers' index was at 55.4, higher than March's figure of 54.9 and marking its fifth straight month in expansion territory.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector, while a figure below 50 indicates contraction.

Japan's composite PMI in April, - which combines the manufacturing and services sector figures - came in unchanged at 52.9.

This marks the fastest pace of growth since June 2022, and the fourth consecutive month the composite PMI stayed above the 50 mark.

— Lim Hui Jie

Bill Nygren shares his best trade ever

Oakmark Funds' Bill Nygren revealed to CNBC Pro on Friday the best trade ever in his decades-long career.

Read more on why the value investor ranks this media spinoff as his top trade here

— Samantha Subin

S&P 500 earnings on pace for year-over-year declines

Factset data shows S&P 500 earnings are on track for year-over-year declines, with about 85% of the benchmark index reporting results so far.

Based on the blended growth metric, EPS is on track to fall 2.4% year over year, with the materials sector seeing the largest decline at 25.7%.

Of the companies posting results, about 79% have beaten EPS expectations while a little over 74% have topped sales estimates, according to Factset

— Samantha Subin

Stock futures open flat on Sunday evening

Stock futures opened flat on Sunday.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 5 points, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures were flat.

— Samantha Subin